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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+4.70vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.79+0.92vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.97+1.69vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.66+2.93vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.83+1.56vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.38-3.05vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.43-2.20vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.75-3.78vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.84-4.93vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-0.39vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-2.27vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University-0.91-0.22vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.48-1.86vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.24-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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2.92Boston College3.790.3%1st Place
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4.69Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.93Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.56University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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3.95Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.8Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.22Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.07Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.61University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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9.73Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
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12.78Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
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12.14University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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10.89Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Hall | 7.4% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Richard Jones | 26.8% | 24.3% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 12.6% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Peter Girard | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 16.5% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 21.6% | 15.9% | 7.5% |
| Benjamin Eley | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 20.4% | 16.8% | 9.1% | 2.3% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 6.6% | 11.8% | 21.4% | 50.8% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 28.6% | 31.1% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 23.2% | 21.0% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.