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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.79+2.03vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+3.09vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.38+0.81vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.43+2.03vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+0.88vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.83+1.49vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.97-3.47vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.84-3.99vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-0.48+2.18vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-1.22vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-1.36vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University-0.91-0.24vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.24-3.06vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.66-7.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Boston College3.790.3%1st Place
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5.09Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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3.81Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.03Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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4.53Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.01Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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12.18University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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9.78Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
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10.64University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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12.76Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
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10.94Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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7.83Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jones | 27.6% | 21.7% | 17.4% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 17.6% | 18.7% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Hall | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 13.4% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 10.0% | 16.1% | 30.0% | 29.8% |
| Benjamin Eley | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 20.4% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 2.9% |
| Noah Brayer | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 19.5% | 22.6% | 15.7% | 6.7% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 12.6% | 23.1% | 48.9% |
| Jade Forsberg | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 21.8% | 18.4% | 11.2% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.