← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.79+2.02vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University2.43+3.82vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.38+0.78vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+1.84vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.97-0.16vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island1.83+1.50vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.75-2.02vs Predicted
-
8Boston University2.84-3.00vs Predicted
-
10University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45+0.59vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.66-3.00vs Predicted
-
12Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-2.24vs Predicted
-
13Brandeis University-0.91-0.19vs Predicted
-
14Middlebury College0.24-3.07vs Predicted
-
15University of Connecticut-0.48-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.02Boston College3.790.3%1st Place
-
5.82Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
-
3.78Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
-
5.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
-
4.84Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
-
7.5University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
-
4.98Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
5.0Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
-
10.59University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
-
8.0Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
-
9.76Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
-
12.81Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
-
10.93Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
-
12.14University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jones | 27.7% | 21.9% | 17.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 18.7% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 5.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 9.8% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 12.1% | 21.1% | 21.3% | 15.9% | 6.7% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Eley | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 17.7% | 17.6% | 15.6% | 10.3% | 2.6% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 11.7% | 21.8% | 51.4% |
| Jade Forsberg | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 11.1% | 18.5% | 23.4% | 16.6% | 11.2% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 15.9% | 31.4% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.