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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+4.54vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.43+3.68vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.38+0.67vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.97+0.61vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.84+0.01vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.79-2.94vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75-2.14vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.83-0.84vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45+1.30vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-1.52vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-0.48+0.08vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.38-2.58vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University-0.91-1.43vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.24-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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5.68Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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3.67Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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4.61Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.01Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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3.06Boston College3.790.3%1st Place
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4.86Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.16University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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10.3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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9.48Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
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12.08University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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10.42Northeastern University0.380.0%1st Place
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12.57Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
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10.56Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Hall | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Balk | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 18.5% | 19.2% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 11.3% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Jones | 26.7% | 21.4% | 17.5% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 17.6% | 12.0% | 6.6% |
| Benjamin Eley | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 28.6% | 29.5% |
| Ian Campbell | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 17.7% | 13.7% | 7.5% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 21.4% | 47.7% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 21.2% | 16.9% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.