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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.13+5.04vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.42+3.26vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.82+1.35vs Predicted
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4McGill University1.36+4.16vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.37+0.64vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.94-1.90vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.97-3.02vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-0.06vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.42-1.00vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.56-4.89vs Predicted
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11Brown University0.23-0.12vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University-0.02-0.44vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-0.68-0.28vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.59-1.55vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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5.26Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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4.35Tufts University2.820.2%1st Place
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8.16McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
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5.64Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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4.1Roger Williams University2.940.2%1st Place
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3.98Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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7.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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8.0Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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5.11University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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10.88Brown University0.230.0%1st Place
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11.56Brandeis University-0.020.0%1st Place
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12.72Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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12.45University of Connecticut-0.590.0%1st Place
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13.8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Rizika | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 8.7% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 15.6% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mete Sayin | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Luke Andersen | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gemperline | 15.6% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 18.4% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Chris Colbeth | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean O'Keefe | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 16.6% | 18.3% | 17.2% | 9.9% | 4.7% |
| Maya Dornbrand-Lo | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 21.3% | 19.8% | 17.6% | 5.1% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 21.3% | 26.7% | 20.3% |
| Corie Fay | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 21.0% | 23.4% | 16.1% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 11.1% | 19.9% | 53.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.