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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.37+4.42vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.56+2.93vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.42+2.32vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.970.00vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.94-0.79vs Predicted
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6McGill University1.36+2.21vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.13-0.88vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.82-3.59vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.42-1.02vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-1.98vs Predicted
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11Brown University0.23-0.13vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-0.59+0.64vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University-0.02-1.50vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-0.68-1.41vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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4.93University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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5.32Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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4.0Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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4.21Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.21McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
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6.12Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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4.41Tufts University2.820.2%1st Place
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7.98Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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8.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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10.87Brown University0.230.0%1st Place
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12.64University of Connecticut-0.590.0%1st Place
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11.5Brandeis University-0.020.0%1st Place
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12.59Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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13.79University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Andersen | 10.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 11.3% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 17.5% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gemperline | 15.0% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mete Sayin | 2.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jake Rizika | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 15.5% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sean O'Keefe | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 4.7% |
| Corie Fay | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 14.6% | 21.9% | 26.7% | 16.8% |
| Maya Dornbrand-Lo | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 20.3% | 20.4% | 15.0% | 6.5% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 22.1% | 24.7% | 17.9% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 19.7% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.