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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.13+5.04vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.42+3.26vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.82+1.37vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.37+1.48vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.94-0.81vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.56-1.00vs Predicted
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7McGill University1.36+1.14vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.97-3.94vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.42-0.99vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-1.97vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-0.59+1.50vs Predicted
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12Brown University0.23-1.00vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University-0.02-1.48vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-0.68-1.43vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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5.26Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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4.37Tufts University2.820.2%1st Place
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5.48Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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4.19Roger Williams University2.940.2%1st Place
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5.0University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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8.14McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
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4.06Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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8.01Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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8.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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12.5University of Connecticut-0.590.0%1st Place
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11.0Brown University0.230.0%1st Place
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11.52Brandeis University-0.020.0%1st Place
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12.57Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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13.83University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Rizika | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 9.4% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 15.6% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gemperline | 16.1% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mete Sayin | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 18.1% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Corie Fay | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 19.8% | 25.8% | 17.4% |
| Sean O'Keefe | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 20.4% | 18.6% | 12.1% | 2.2% |
| Maya Dornbrand-Lo | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 20.3% | 19.8% | 15.7% | 6.7% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 20.3% | 25.1% | 17.9% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 11.6% | 18.0% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.