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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.42+4.30vs Predicted
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2McGill University1.36+6.03vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.82+1.32vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.97+0.03vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.37+0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.56-1.01vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.94-2.95vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.13-1.85vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-1.06vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.42-1.89vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-0.59+1.50vs Predicted
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12Brown University0.23-0.96vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University-0.02-1.49vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-0.68-1.42vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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8.03McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
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4.32Tufts University2.820.2%1st Place
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4.03Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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5.62Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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4.99University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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4.05Roger Williams University2.940.2%1st Place
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6.15Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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8.11Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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12.5University of Connecticut-0.590.0%1st Place
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11.04Brown University0.230.0%1st Place
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11.51Brandeis University-0.020.0%1st Place
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12.58Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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13.83University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Wagner | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mete Sayin | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Jack Bitney | 15.4% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 16.9% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 11.9% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gemperline | 16.4% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Chris Colbeth | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Corie Fay | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 20.0% | 25.4% | 17.4% |
| Sean O'Keefe | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 19.8% | 18.9% | 12.2% | 2.2% |
| Maya Dornbrand-Lo | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 21.2% | 19.6% | 15.7% | 6.7% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 20.7% | 25.0% | 17.9% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 11.7% | 17.9% | 55.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.