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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.23+3.05vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.97+3.08vs Predicted
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3Indiana University0.39+3.32vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.13+3.08vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.68+0.67vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.21+0.94vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.10+0.69vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.29-4.17vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-1.85+2.81vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas-0.03-2.20vs Predicted
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11Washington University0.09-3.83vs Predicted
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12Hope College-0.31-3.48vs Predicted
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13Ohio State University-1.53-1.65vs Predicted
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14Grand Valley State University-1.70-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05University of Notre Dame1.2317.0%1st Place
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5.08Michigan Technological University0.9712.8%1st Place
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6.32Indiana University0.398.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Wisconsin0.136.1%1st Place
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5.67Northwestern University0.689.7%1st Place
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6.94Marquette University0.216.2%1st Place
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7.69Purdue University-0.104.0%1st Place
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3.83University of Michigan1.2919.9%1st Place
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11.81Western Michigan University-1.851.3%1st Place
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7.8University of Saint Thomas-0.034.5%1st Place
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7.17Washington University0.095.5%1st Place
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8.52Hope College-0.313.3%1st Place
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11.35Ohio State University-1.531.1%1st Place
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11.69Grand Valley State University-1.700.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payden Pittman | 17.0% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Nigel Yu | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Nathanael Green | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Billy Vogel | 19.9% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William O'Haver | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 13.8% | 23.2% | 35.4% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Xinshi Feng | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Henry | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Quinn Schwarz | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 24.9% | 25.1% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 24.2% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.