Race 4A

cary-price

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Phil Holt 5.1% 3.4% 6.0% 8.6% 10.3% 9.7% 15.1% 17.4% 24.4%
Matthew Graham 28.7% 25.5% 18.2% 12.4% 8.9% 3.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.2%
Samuel Todd 6.8% 8.7% 9.6% 12.9% 13.6% 14.2% 14.5% 12.3% 7.4%
Adam Gilbertson 4.2% 5.4% 7.6% 9.0% 10.1% 14.5% 14.2% 15.3% 19.7%
Geoff Pedrick 21.9% 22.4% 16.8% 12.2% 10.6% 8.1% 4.7% 2.8% 0.5%
Elizabeth Werley 4.0% 5.2% 6.0% 7.5% 9.9% 12.9% 14.7% 18.2% 21.6%
Braden Solum 15.8% 17.2% 19.4% 15.3% 12.8% 9.3% 5.3% 4.2% 0.7%
William Schwenger 5.9% 5.9% 6.6% 10.6% 10.9% 12.9% 15.0% 17.3% 14.9%
Eric Tobias 7.6% 6.3% 9.8% 11.5% 12.9% 14.6% 14.6% 12.1% 10.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.