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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.94+3.09vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.82+2.28vs Predicted
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3McGill University1.36+5.13vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.13+2.11vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.37+0.57vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.42-0.59vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+0.90vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.42+0.02vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.56-4.05vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-0.02+1.45vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-0.59+1.45vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.97-7.80vs Predicted
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13Brown University0.23-2.01vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-0.68-1.38vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09Roger Williams University2.940.2%1st Place
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4.28Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.13McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
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6.11Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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5.57Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.41Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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7.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.1%1st Place
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8.02Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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4.95University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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11.45Brandeis University-0.020.0%1st Place
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12.45University of Connecticut-0.590.0%1st Place
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4.2Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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10.99Brown University0.230.0%1st Place
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12.62Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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13.83University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Gemperline | 18.2% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 14.9% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mete Sayin | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Chris Colbeth | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 11.4% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maya Dornbrand-Lo | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 19.3% | 20.8% | 15.9% | 5.6% |
| Corie Fay | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 20.2% | 25.8% | 16.8% |
| Robby Gearon | 16.8% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean O'Keefe | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 16.4% | 20.7% | 17.7% | 10.5% | 4.5% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 21.5% | 26.2% | 17.8% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 19.0% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.