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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.82+3.36vs Predicted
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2McGill University1.36+6.01vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.37+2.45vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.94+0.11vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.42+0.47vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.42+2.03vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.97-2.96vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.13-1.84vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.56-4.07vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-1.96vs Predicted
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11Brown University0.23-0.16vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University-0.02-0.40vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.59-0.44vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-0.68-1.40vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.01McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
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5.45Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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4.11Roger Williams University2.940.2%1st Place
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5.47Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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8.03Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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4.04Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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6.16Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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4.93University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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8.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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10.84Brown University0.230.0%1st Place
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11.6Brandeis University-0.020.0%1st Place
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12.56University of Connecticut-0.590.0%1st Place
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12.6Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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13.81University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bitney | 14.8% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mete Sayin | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Luke Andersen | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gemperline | 17.0% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 16.7% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Sean O'Keefe | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 10.0% | 4.6% |
| Maya Dornbrand-Lo | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 14.9% | 20.0% | 20.3% | 17.2% | 5.3% |
| Corie Fay | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 12.9% | 22.5% | 25.4% | 17.5% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 15.5% | 20.5% | 24.2% | 18.7% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 20.0% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.