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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.82+3.38vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.94+2.01vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.13+3.08vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.42+1.37vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.37+0.60vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.56-0.98vs Predicted
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7McGill University1.36+1.13vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.97-3.94vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.42-1.00vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.23+0.85vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-3.04vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-0.68+0.73vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University-0.02-1.49vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.59-1.53vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Tufts University2.820.2%1st Place
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4.01Roger Williams University2.940.2%1st Place
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6.08Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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5.37Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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5.6Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.02University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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8.13McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
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4.06Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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8.0Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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10.85Brown University0.230.0%1st Place
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7.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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12.73Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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11.51Brandeis University-0.020.0%1st Place
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12.47University of Connecticut-0.590.0%1st Place
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13.84University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bitney | 15.4% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gemperline | 16.7% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 10.1% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 9.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mete Sayin | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 17.4% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sean O'Keefe | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 16.3% | 19.4% | 16.2% | 11.0% | 3.1% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 21.0% | 27.7% | 18.8% |
| Maya Dornbrand-Lo | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 12.2% | 20.4% | 22.3% | 14.0% | 6.7% |
| Corie Fay | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 15.5% | 19.8% | 23.9% | 16.9% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 21.0% | 54.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.