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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.82+3.41vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.13+4.04vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.94+1.10vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.37+1.54vs Predicted
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5McGill University1.36+3.17vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.97-2.00vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.42+0.94vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.23+2.80vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.42-3.66vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-1.96vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.68+1.60vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University-0.02-0.47vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.59-0.45vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58-0.09vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.56-9.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.04Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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4.1Roger Williams University2.940.2%1st Place
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5.54Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.17McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
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4.0Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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7.94Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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10.8Brown University0.230.0%1st Place
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5.34Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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8.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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12.6Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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11.53Brandeis University-0.020.0%1st Place
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12.55University of Connecticut-0.590.0%1st Place
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13.91University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
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5.03University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bitney | 14.9% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gemperline | 17.6% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mete Sayin | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 16.3% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sean O'Keefe | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 20.3% | 9.3% | 2.6% |
| Jackson Wagner | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 14.4% | 18.3% | 26.4% | 19.1% |
| Maya Dornbrand-Lo | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 14.0% | 19.9% | 21.7% | 15.1% | 5.4% |
| Corie Fay | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 15.8% | 19.7% | 27.0% | 16.3% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 10.8% | 19.5% | 55.8% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.