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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.94+2.97vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.82+2.12vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.13+2.90vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+1.83vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.42+2.94vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.60+1.46vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.37-1.62vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.56-3.10vs Predicted
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9McGill University1.36-0.96vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56+0.09vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.68+1.51vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58+1.95vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University-0.51-0.65vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.59-1.62vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.42-9.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97Roger Williams University2.940.2%1st Place
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4.12Tufts University2.820.2%1st Place
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5.9Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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5.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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7.94Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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7.46Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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5.38Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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4.9University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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8.04McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
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10.09Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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12.51Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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13.95University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
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12.35Brandeis University-0.510.0%1st Place
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12.38University of Connecticut-0.590.0%1st Place
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5.18Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Gemperline | 18.6% | 18.5% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 16.7% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Croteau | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 10.5% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 12.6% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mete Sayin | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Zupkus | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 12.2% | 19.1% | 18.7% | 13.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 17.6% | 18.8% | 25.9% | 16.7% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 11.6% | 20.5% | 55.8% |
| Benjamin Shaiman | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 15.5% | 22.9% | 24.7% | 12.4% |
| Corie Fay | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 9.5% | 15.7% | 23.8% | 22.7% | 13.7% |
| Jackson Wagner | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.