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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.94+2.95vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.42+5.82vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.82+1.15vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.56+0.86vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.13+1.08vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.42-0.76vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.60+0.37vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.37-2.58vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-3.20vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56+0.08vs Predicted
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11McGill University1.36-2.86vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58+1.96vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-0.68-0.39vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University-0.51-1.77vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.59-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95Roger Williams University2.940.2%1st Place
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7.82Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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4.15Tufts University2.820.2%1st Place
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4.86University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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6.08Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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5.24Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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7.37Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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5.42Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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10.08Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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8.14McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
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13.96University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
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12.61Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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12.23Brandeis University-0.510.0%1st Place
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12.29University of Connecticut-0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Gemperline | 18.2% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 17.0% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Croteau | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Luke Andersen | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Zupkus | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 20.6% | 18.5% | 13.3% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Mete Sayin | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 20.3% | 56.8% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 14.1% | 22.0% | 26.2% | 16.8% |
| Benjamin Shaiman | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 17.0% | 24.0% | 20.9% | 12.2% |
| Corie Fay | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 9.4% | 16.5% | 21.4% | 24.7% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.