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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.42+4.14vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.82+2.13vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.94+0.90vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.13+1.94vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.56-0.03vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.42+1.99vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.60+0.40vs Predicted
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8McGill University1.36+0.09vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.37-3.70vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-4.06vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56-0.91vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58+1.93vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.59-0.51vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-0.68-1.47vs Predicted
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15Brandeis University-0.51-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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4.13Tufts University2.820.2%1st Place
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3.9Roger Williams University2.940.2%1st Place
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5.94Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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4.97University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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7.99Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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7.4Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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8.09McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
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5.3Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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10.09Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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13.93University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
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12.49University of Connecticut-0.590.0%1st Place
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12.53Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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12.16Brandeis University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Wagner | 12.6% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 16.3% | 18.0% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gemperline | 18.3% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emily Croteau | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mete Sayin | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Luke Andersen | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 7.8% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Zupkus | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 20.4% | 17.3% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 20.5% | 56.1% |
| Corie Fay | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 16.4% | 24.5% | 23.6% | 14.8% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 7.7% | 16.7% | 22.7% | 24.4% | 15.8% |
| Benjamin Shaiman | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 17.5% | 21.5% | 23.8% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.