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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.82+3.24vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.94+1.86vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.42+4.81vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.37+1.37vs Predicted
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5McGill University1.36+3.05vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.13+0.02vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56+2.95vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.56-3.08vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58+4.89vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-0.59+2.36vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.68+1.49vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University-0.51+0.43vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.60-5.40vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-8.23vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.42-9.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24Tufts University2.820.2%1st Place
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3.86Roger Williams University2.940.2%1st Place
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7.81Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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5.37Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.05McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
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6.02Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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9.95Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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4.92University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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13.89University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Connecticut-0.590.0%1st Place
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12.49Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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12.43Brandeis University-0.510.0%1st Place
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7.6Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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5.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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5.24Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bitney | 15.9% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gemperline | 19.5% | 18.0% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Luke Andersen | 9.6% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mete Sayin | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Zupkus | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 21.1% | 17.7% | 11.9% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 12.7% | 20.5% | 53.2% |
| Corie Fay | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 15.9% | 22.0% | 24.4% | 13.9% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 15.7% | 19.3% | 24.7% | 17.5% |
| Benjamin Shaiman | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 18.5% | 23.1% | 23.2% | 14.0% |
| Emily Croteau | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Greta Farrell | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 10.4% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.