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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.13+4.87vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.82+2.15vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.42+2.18vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.42+3.91vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.37+0.43vs Predicted
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6McGill University1.36+2.09vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.94-3.04vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.56-3.09vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56+1.08vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-0.68+2.55vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-0.59+1.37vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University-0.51+0.41vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58+0.94vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.60-6.68vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-9.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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4.15Tufts University2.820.2%1st Place
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5.18Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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7.91Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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5.43Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.09McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
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3.96Roger Williams University2.940.2%1st Place
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4.91University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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10.08Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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12.55Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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12.37University of Connecticut-0.590.0%1st Place
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12.41Brandeis University-0.510.0%1st Place
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13.94University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
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7.32Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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5.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Rizika | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 16.8% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 9.7% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mete Sayin | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gemperline | 18.1% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 12.1% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Zupkus | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 19.4% | 18.7% | 11.8% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 7.8% | 15.8% | 20.4% | 27.3% | 15.6% |
| Corie Fay | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 18.1% | 21.9% | 23.4% | 14.2% |
| Benjamin Shaiman | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 25.4% | 24.4% | 12.3% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 18.2% | 56.7% |
| Emily Croteau | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.