Race 1A

harvard-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Zachary Vickerson 9.6% 14.0% 17.0% 17.4% 22.0% 13.6% 5.1% 1.3%
Andrew Puopolo 14.5% 18.0% 20.7% 21.4% 14.7% 7.2% 3.3% 0.2%
Alexandra Swanson 10.2% 13.5% 16.5% 18.9% 20.8% 12.5% 6.4% 1.2%
Greta Farrell 15.1% 18.9% 20.5% 20.3% 16.5% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5%
Cameron Holley 45.4% 27.1% 16.5% 8.1% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Maddy Crowley 1.9% 3.7% 3.2% 5.3% 9.8% 24.4% 27.7% 24.0%
Jorge Castro 2.1% 2.0% 3.7% 4.6% 6.9% 17.4% 28.1% 35.2%
Frank Egan 1.2% 2.8% 1.9% 4.0% 7.0% 18.2% 27.3% 37.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.