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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.86+1.54vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University2.38+1.38vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.83+3.26vs Predicted
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4Purdue University1.40+1.00vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.81+1.08vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota2.21-2.53vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.29-1.68vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.91-1.97vs Predicted
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9Queen's University0.43-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54University of Michigan2.860.3%1st Place
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3.38Northwestern University2.380.2%1st Place
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6.26Purdue University0.830.0%1st Place
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5.0Purdue University1.400.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Notre Dame0.810.0%1st Place
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3.47University of Minnesota2.210.2%1st Place
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5.32University of Wisconsin1.290.1%1st Place
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6.03Ohio State University0.910.1%1st Place
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6.91Queen's University0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Graham | 32.9% | 24.6% | 18.0% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 17.2% | 21.9% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Phil Holt | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 21.3% | 18.0% |
| Samuel Todd | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 5.4% |
| Elizabeth Werley | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 18.7% |
| Braden Solum | 17.9% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Eric Tobias | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 7.2% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 15.8% |
| Joshua Brown | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 33.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.