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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-0.10+6.62vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.68+3.64vs Predicted
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3Indiana University0.39+3.22vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.97+1.25vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.31+3.51vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.13+0.83vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.29-3.12vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.21-1.04vs Predicted
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9Washington University0.09-1.78vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-1.70+1.73vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University-1.85+0.92vs Predicted
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12Ohio State University-1.53-0.56vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame1.23-9.02vs Predicted
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14University of Saint Thomas-0.03-6.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.62Purdue University-0.104.5%1st Place
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5.64Northwestern University0.689.3%1st Place
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6.22Indiana University0.397.0%1st Place
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5.25Michigan Technological University0.9711.3%1st Place
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8.51Hope College-0.314.0%1st Place
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6.83University of Wisconsin0.136.9%1st Place
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3.88University of Michigan1.2919.4%1st Place
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6.96Marquette University0.216.2%1st Place
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7.22Washington University0.095.8%1st Place
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11.73Grand Valley State University-1.700.9%1st Place
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11.92Western Michigan University-1.851.1%1st Place
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11.44Ohio State University-1.531.1%1st Place
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3.98University of Notre Dame1.2317.8%1st Place
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7.8University of Saint Thomas-0.034.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathanael Green | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 11.3% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Henry | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 2.9% |
| Nigel Yu | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Billy Vogel | 19.4% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Xinshi Feng | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 13.9% | 23.9% | 32.3% |
| William O'Haver | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 13.7% | 24.3% | 35.6% |
| Quinn Schwarz | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 17.6% | 24.2% | 24.6% |
| Payden Pittman | 17.8% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.