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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.76+2.85vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.24+0.01vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.71+1.03vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.12-0.57vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-1.68vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.21-0.82vs Predicted
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9Williams College-0.03-2.47vs Predicted
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11Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.19-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
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2.01Tufts University3.240.4%1st Place
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4.03Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
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3.43Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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3.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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6.18McGill University0.210.0%1st Place
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6.53Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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6.65Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Swanson | 11.0% | 13.1% | 18.4% | 19.7% | 19.9% | 12.1% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 44.3% | 26.6% | 17.2% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 10.1% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 18.7% | 21.1% | 13.6% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 14.4% | 19.1% | 17.8% | 20.6% | 17.8% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Greta Farrell | 14.7% | 21.3% | 21.1% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 8.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Maddy Crowley | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 22.8% | 28.1% | 23.9% |
| Jorge Castro | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 16.2% | 28.3% | 35.2% |
| Frank Egan | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 19.0% | 28.0% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.