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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.12+2.30vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.71+2.04vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.24-1.05vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.64-0.93vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-2.67vs Predicted
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7Williams College-0.03-0.52vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.19-2.30vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.21-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3Harvard University2.120.2%1st Place
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4.04Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
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1.95Tufts University3.240.5%1st Place
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4.07Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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3.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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6.48Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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6.7Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.190.0%1st Place
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6.13McGill University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Puopolo | 15.4% | 20.2% | 20.0% | 21.2% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 10.0% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 22.0% | 20.5% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 46.7% | 26.5% | 16.3% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Bergh | 9.8% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 17.6% | 22.1% | 15.8% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Greta Farrell | 12.6% | 23.2% | 21.9% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Jorge Castro | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 19.3% | 28.6% | 32.2% |
| Frank Egan | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 13.6% | 25.2% | 43.2% |
| Maddy Crowley | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 11.3% | 23.4% | 29.2% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.