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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.24+0.95vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.71+2.01vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+0.29vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.64+0.09vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.19+1.70vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.12-3.66vs Predicted
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8Williams College-0.03-1.49vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.21-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95Tufts University3.240.5%1st Place
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4.01Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
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3.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.2%1st Place
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4.09Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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6.7Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.190.0%1st Place
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3.34Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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6.51Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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6.11McGill University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Holley | 46.7% | 26.5% | 16.4% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 9.6% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 20.8% | 14.1% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Greta Farrell | 15.1% | 19.8% | 21.6% | 19.9% | 14.5% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Courtney Bergh | 8.5% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 23.8% | 14.9% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Frank Egan | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 16.7% | 28.0% | 39.7% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 14.6% | 18.6% | 21.8% | 21.2% | 13.8% | 7.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jorge Castro | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 15.4% | 28.2% | 35.2% |
| Maddy Crowley | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 11.7% | 23.3% | 28.2% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.