← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.24+0.94vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.12+1.37vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.76+0.94vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-0.68vs Predicted
-
5Boston University1.71-0.95vs Predicted
-
7McGill University0.21-0.80vs Predicted
-
9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.19-2.29vs Predicted
-
11Williams College-0.03-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.94Tufts University3.240.5%1st Place
-
3.37Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
-
3.94Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
-
3.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
-
4.05Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
-
6.2McGill University0.210.0%1st Place
-
6.71Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.190.0%1st Place
-
6.46Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Holley | 47.5% | 26.1% | 15.6% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 13.6% | 20.4% | 20.2% | 20.7% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 10.0% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 19.7% | 21.1% | 12.6% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Greta Farrell | 15.0% | 19.6% | 20.1% | 20.5% | 16.3% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 8.7% | 12.6% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 20.5% | 14.7% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Maddy Crowley | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 11.2% | 22.3% | 28.3% | 23.9% |
| Frank Egan | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 14.7% | 25.1% | 42.8% |
| Jorge Castro | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.9% | 19.9% | 31.0% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.