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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.24+0.94vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.12+1.38vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.76+0.94vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.71+0.02vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-1.66vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.21+0.19vs Predicted
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8Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.19-1.28vs Predicted
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11Williams College-0.03-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94Tufts University3.240.5%1st Place
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3.38Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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3.94Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
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4.02Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
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3.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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6.19McGill University0.210.0%1st Place
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6.72Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.190.0%1st Place
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6.46Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Holley | 48.6% | 25.2% | 15.0% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 13.8% | 19.5% | 20.6% | 20.5% | 14.8% | 8.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 10.1% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 20.0% | 20.3% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 1.1% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 8.9% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 19.2% | 21.7% | 14.0% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Greta Farrell | 13.9% | 21.0% | 20.5% | 18.8% | 16.1% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Maddy Crowley | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 23.7% | 27.3% | 24.0% |
| Frank Egan | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 14.3% | 25.2% | 42.9% |
| Jorge Castro | 1.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 19.9% | 31.3% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.