← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.36+3.46vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University3.20+0.13vs Predicted
-
3Boston University2.51-0.03vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.81-0.07vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-2.27vs Predicted
-
6McGill University0.31-0.23vs Predicted
-
7Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01-0.89vs Predicted
-
10Williams College-3.06-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.46Brown University1.360.1%1st Place
-
2.13Harvard University3.200.4%1st Place
-
2.97Boston University2.510.2%1st Place
-
3.93Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
-
2.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.2%1st Place
-
5.77McGill University0.310.0%1st Place
-
6.11Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.0%1st Place
-
7.9Williams College-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Morran | 5.6% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 19.0% | 26.3% | 21.0% | 7.4% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 39.4% | 27.2% | 19.0% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 18.3% | 22.7% | 23.9% | 19.5% | 10.6% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 9.1% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 23.5% | 22.9% | 12.7% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 23.6% | 25.1% | 22.2% | 17.0% | 9.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Malich Altman | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 15.3% | 33.8% | 34.4% | 1.7% |
| Liam Shanahan | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 11.8% | 23.9% | 49.2% | 4.0% |
| Maeve Serino | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 3.8% | 94.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.