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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.36+3.48vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.81+1.97vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.51-0.05vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.20-1.88vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-2.29vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.31-0.23vs Predicted
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7Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01-0.90vs Predicted
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10Williams College-3.06-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48Brown University1.360.1%1st Place
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3.97Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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2.95Boston University2.510.2%1st Place
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2.12Harvard University3.200.4%1st Place
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2.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.2%1st Place
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5.77McGill University0.310.0%1st Place
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6.1Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.0%1st Place
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7.9Williams College-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Morran | 5.7% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 27.8% | 21.6% | 7.2% | 0.3% |
| Pierre DuPont | 8.9% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 24.3% | 25.2% | 11.5% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 19.3% | 22.4% | 22.6% | 20.2% | 11.1% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 38.9% | 27.9% | 19.8% | 10.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 23.2% | 26.1% | 21.9% | 17.6% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Malich Altman | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 14.2% | 34.6% | 34.2% | 1.7% |
| Liam Shanahan | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 10.5% | 24.1% | 49.4% | 4.0% |
| Maeve Serino | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 94.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.