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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.81+2.86vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.20+0.14vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.51-0.02vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.36+0.54vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-2.28vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.31-0.25vs Predicted
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7Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01-0.89vs Predicted
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11Williams College-3.06-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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2.14Harvard University3.200.4%1st Place
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2.98Boston University2.510.2%1st Place
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4.54Brown University1.360.1%1st Place
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2.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.2%1st Place
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5.75McGill University0.310.0%1st Place
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6.11Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.0%1st Place
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7.9Williams College-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre DuPont | 9.7% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 24.5% | 20.3% | 13.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 38.5% | 28.0% | 19.2% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 18.8% | 21.5% | 23.8% | 19.8% | 11.2% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Morran | 5.7% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 17.5% | 29.1% | 19.8% | 9.0% | 0.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 23.3% | 25.4% | 22.8% | 16.9% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Malich Altman | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 15.4% | 33.0% | 34.1% | 1.8% |
| Liam Shanahan | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 11.3% | 24.4% | 49.3% | 3.9% |
| Maeve Serino | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 3.9% | 93.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.