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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.81+2.86vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.51+0.98vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.30vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.36+0.54vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.20-2.86vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.31-0.23vs Predicted
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8Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01-1.89vs Predicted
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11Williams College-3.06-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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2.98Boston University2.510.2%1st Place
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2.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.2%1st Place
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4.54Brown University1.360.1%1st Place
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2.14Harvard University3.200.4%1st Place
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5.77McGill University0.310.0%1st Place
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6.11Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.0%1st Place
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7.9Williams College-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre DuPont | 9.1% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 24.9% | 20.4% | 13.8% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Reed Lorimer | 17.7% | 21.4% | 25.9% | 20.1% | 10.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 23.9% | 25.6% | 21.4% | 17.5% | 9.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Morran | 5.9% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 29.4% | 20.4% | 8.8% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 39.4% | 27.1% | 19.2% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Malich Altman | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 15.3% | 33.5% | 34.2% | 1.8% |
| Liam Shanahan | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 10.2% | 25.4% | 49.1% | 3.9% |
| Maeve Serino | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 3.9% | 93.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.