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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.36+3.45vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.20+0.19vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.81+0.88vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.51-1.05vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01+1.12vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.31-0.22vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.27vs Predicted
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10Williams College-3.06-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45Brown University1.360.1%1st Place
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2.19Harvard University3.200.4%1st Place
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3.88Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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2.95Boston University2.510.2%1st Place
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6.12Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.0%1st Place
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5.78McGill University0.310.0%1st Place
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2.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.2%1st Place
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7.91Williams College-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Morran | 5.7% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 18.5% | 26.4% | 20.1% | 7.6% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 36.1% | 29.3% | 19.7% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 10.1% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 23.1% | 23.9% | 12.0% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 19.5% | 21.4% | 24.4% | 19.4% | 11.0% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Liam Shanahan | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 11.5% | 27.3% | 48.2% | 3.1% |
| Malich Altman | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 13.9% | 32.3% | 36.3% | 1.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 24.8% | 23.6% | 21.9% | 17.7% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Maeve Serino | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 94.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.