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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Matthew Graham 33.0% 23.9% 19.7% 12.3% 5.1% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Geoff Pedrick 16.5% 22.2% 19.5% 15.6% 11.9% 8.3% 3.8% 1.6% 0.6%
Phil Holt 3.5% 5.8% 5.8% 8.4% 11.0% 11.3% 17.0% 19.2% 18.0%
Adam Gilbertson 4.5% 5.8% 7.0% 10.0% 11.4% 15.5% 14.6% 15.3% 15.9%
Braden Solum 19.9% 19.3% 16.0% 13.9% 13.8% 7.6% 5.3% 3.2% 1.0%
Samuel Todd 7.5% 8.3% 11.4% 13.2% 15.7% 14.3% 13.5% 10.0% 6.1%
Eric Tobias 7.3% 6.3% 10.7% 12.4% 13.6% 16.5% 13.5% 12.7% 7.0%
Joshua Brown 3.4% 3.0% 4.5% 5.4% 8.1% 9.4% 13.9% 18.9% 33.4%
Elizabeth Werley 4.4% 5.4% 5.4% 8.8% 9.4% 13.0% 16.9% 18.7% 18.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.