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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.86+1.53vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University2.38+1.36vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.83+3.24vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.91+1.95vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.21-1.52vs Predicted
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6Purdue University1.40-0.95vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.29-1.72vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.43-1.09vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame0.81-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53University of Michigan2.860.3%1st Place
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3.36Northwestern University2.380.2%1st Place
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6.24Purdue University0.830.0%1st Place
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5.95Ohio State University0.910.0%1st Place
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3.48University of Minnesota2.210.2%1st Place
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5.05Purdue University1.400.1%1st Place
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5.28University of Wisconsin1.290.1%1st Place
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6.91Queen's University0.430.0%1st Place
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6.22University of Notre Dame0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Graham | 33.0% | 23.9% | 19.7% | 12.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 16.5% | 22.2% | 19.5% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Phil Holt | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 17.0% | 19.2% | 18.0% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 15.9% |
| Braden Solum | 19.9% | 19.3% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Todd | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 6.1% |
| Eric Tobias | 7.3% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 7.0% |
| Joshua Brown | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 33.4% |
| Elizabeth Werley | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 18.7% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.