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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.68+4.65vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.13+4.83vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.97+2.18vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.29-0.18vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.31+3.55vs Predicted
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6Washington University0.09+1.17vs Predicted
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7Indiana University0.39-0.60vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.85+3.90vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame1.23-4.91vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas-0.03-2.29vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-0.10-3.33vs Predicted
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12Marquette University0.21-5.04vs Predicted
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13Ohio State University-1.53-1.54vs Predicted
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14Grand Valley State University-1.70-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65Northwestern University0.689.9%1st Place
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6.83University of Wisconsin0.136.6%1st Place
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5.18Michigan Technological University0.9711.3%1st Place
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3.82University of Michigan1.2920.4%1st Place
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8.55Hope College-0.313.6%1st Place
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7.17Washington University0.095.1%1st Place
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6.4Indiana University0.397.1%1st Place
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11.9Western Michigan University-1.850.9%1st Place
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4.09University of Notre Dame1.2317.4%1st Place
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7.71University of Saint Thomas-0.034.0%1st Place
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7.67Purdue University-0.104.9%1st Place
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6.96Marquette University0.216.7%1st Place
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11.46Ohio State University-1.531.1%1st Place
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11.62Grand Valley State University-1.701.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Chesemore | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nigel Yu | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Billy Vogel | 20.4% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Henry | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 2.6% |
| Xinshi Feng | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| William O'Haver | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 14.4% | 22.8% | 35.9% |
| Payden Pittman | 17.4% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Nathanael Green | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Quinn Schwarz | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 15.8% | 25.6% | 25.2% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 14.5% | 23.7% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.