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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.81+2.87vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.20+0.17vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.36+1.47vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.51-1.02vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01+1.10vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.31vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.31-1.19vs Predicted
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10Williams College-3.06-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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2.17Harvard University3.200.4%1st Place
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4.47Brown University1.360.1%1st Place
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2.98Boston University2.510.2%1st Place
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6.1Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.0%1st Place
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2.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.2%1st Place
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5.81McGill University0.310.0%1st Place
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7.9Williams College-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre DuPont | 10.2% | 11.5% | 17.3% | 22.2% | 23.4% | 11.8% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 36.7% | 29.2% | 19.7% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Morran | 6.6% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 17.7% | 29.1% | 20.8% | 7.0% | 0.2% |
| Reed Lorimer | 18.6% | 22.8% | 22.0% | 20.1% | 11.9% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Liam Shanahan | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 27.4% | 47.9% | 3.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 24.1% | 24.6% | 22.9% | 17.8% | 8.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Malich Altman | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 13.1% | 31.9% | 37.0% | 2.3% |
| Maeve Serino | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 94.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.