← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.13+5.21vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.80+5.13vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.25+2.88vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College3.23+2.01vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.95+2.07vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.90+1.19vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.70+0.46vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.15vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University2.05+0.93vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College1.68+0.98vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University2.97-4.06vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University2.45-3.42vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University3.26-7.20vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-7.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.21Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
7.13Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
-
5.88Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
-
6.01Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
-
7.07University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
-
7.19Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
-
7.46University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
-
9.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
-
9.93Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
-
10.98Dartmouth College1.680.0%1st Place
-
6.94Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
-
8.58Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
-
5.8Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
-
6.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Cook | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Lyons | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Bryce Kopp | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Peter Lynn | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 15.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 17.4% |
| Nathaniel Greason | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 34.4% |
| Dirk Johnson | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| John Silvestri | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 9.2% |
| Alexander Tong | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| August Sturm | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.