Race 3A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Malcolm Lamphere 11.0% 11.5% 11.6% 9.4% 8.4% 8.7% 8.0% 7.4% 7.2% 4.7% 3.4% 4.4% 2.7% 1.6%
Frank Reeg 3.6% 4.8% 4.7% 4.7% 5.8% 5.4% 4.9% 5.0% 7.5% 8.8% 8.9% 10.4% 13.9% 11.6%
Matthew Coughlin 8.1% 8.4% 7.9% 7.7% 8.0% 7.2% 7.6% 8.3% 7.5% 6.8% 8.4% 6.9% 4.7% 2.5%
Brendan Cook 8.1% 11.1% 9.6% 7.9% 8.2% 9.2% 7.4% 8.3% 7.1% 7.4% 5.5% 5.2% 3.8% 1.2%
Matthew Lyons 5.8% 6.2% 6.7% 9.1% 6.5% 7.1% 7.3% 8.0% 7.7% 7.8% 8.6% 8.6% 6.7% 3.9%
Victoria McGruer 3.1% 3.3% 2.6% 3.3% 3.4% 4.1% 5.4% 4.5% 8.0% 7.2% 9.8% 10.5% 12.3% 22.5%
John Silvestri 5.2% 6.0% 6.1% 5.7% 5.4% 5.9% 6.6% 7.4% 7.2% 9.0% 7.1% 9.8% 10.7% 7.9%
Alexander Tong 11.1% 11.8% 9.5% 9.5% 9.5% 8.1% 7.9% 6.0% 5.9% 7.1% 5.1% 4.5% 2.5% 1.5%
Jan Kite-Powell 6.8% 4.9% 5.5% 7.2% 6.6% 6.7% 7.4% 8.8% 8.0% 7.9% 8.9% 9.4% 7.4% 4.5%
Bryce Kopp 10.3% 7.8% 11.2% 10.0% 10.3% 8.0% 7.4% 7.7% 5.9% 8.8% 5.7% 3.0% 2.5% 1.4%
Dirk Johnson 9.0% 6.4% 7.0% 9.1% 7.9% 8.2% 7.9% 7.6% 9.6% 6.3% 6.9% 5.4% 5.4% 3.3%
August Sturm 7.9% 7.7% 6.7% 8.4% 9.0% 9.3% 7.9% 9.0% 6.8% 6.1% 6.6% 6.3% 4.8% 3.5%
Peter Lynn 7.5% 8.4% 8.4% 6.1% 8.0% 8.7% 9.2% 7.8% 6.4% 6.3% 9.2% 5.5% 6.1% 2.4%
Nathaniel Greason 2.5% 1.7% 2.5% 1.9% 3.0% 3.4% 5.1% 4.2% 5.2% 5.8% 5.9% 10.1% 16.5% 32.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.