Race 4A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Dirk Johnson 7.7% 8.6% 9.4% 9.4% 7.3% 7.5% 8.9% 8.5% 7.1% 6.6% 5.5% 6.3% 3.7% 3.5%
Brendan Cook 11.0% 9.8% 8.1% 8.9% 9.2% 8.8% 7.8% 8.2% 8.2% 6.9% 4.8% 3.8% 3.0% 1.5%
Matthew Lyons 6.9% 7.5% 6.8% 6.7% 7.0% 7.5% 6.6% 9.0% 7.6% 7.3% 9.0% 7.8% 6.7% 3.6%
John Silvestri 3.7% 4.4% 6.0% 4.9% 6.2% 7.4% 5.4% 7.2% 6.8% 7.7% 9.5% 11.0% 11.6% 8.2%
Matthew Coughlin 7.0% 7.4% 8.3% 8.5% 8.0% 7.1% 8.3% 8.4% 6.5% 7.6% 8.4% 7.1% 4.1% 3.3%
Victoria McGruer 2.8% 3.4% 3.8% 3.0% 3.7% 3.6% 3.9% 6.4% 6.1% 9.0% 9.3% 9.8% 15.2% 20.0%
Bryce Kopp 12.2% 10.7% 10.1% 10.0% 9.1% 9.4% 6.6% 7.1% 8.0% 4.7% 5.4% 3.5% 2.4% 0.8%
Peter Lynn 7.1% 8.9% 8.6% 6.9% 7.5% 7.2% 7.9% 8.2% 6.6% 7.3% 6.6% 7.4% 6.6% 3.2%
Nathaniel Greason 2.7% 2.1% 2.2% 2.0% 2.7% 2.8% 3.6% 3.3% 4.8% 5.9% 8.7% 9.9% 16.8% 32.5%
Malcolm Lamphere 10.1% 9.6% 9.0% 10.6% 9.9% 8.1% 8.1% 6.8% 8.0% 6.9% 5.3% 4.1% 2.9% 0.6%
Frank Reeg 3.4% 3.6% 4.6% 2.8% 5.7% 6.3% 5.2% 5.7% 6.8% 8.5% 7.9% 12.0% 13.1% 14.4%
Jan Kite-Powell 6.2% 5.1% 5.3% 8.3% 6.7% 6.9% 9.2% 7.2% 8.3% 8.1% 7.3% 8.3% 8.1% 5.0%
Alexander Tong 11.7% 9.1% 9.1% 10.8% 8.9% 10.0% 9.2% 7.1% 6.1% 5.8% 5.9% 2.9% 2.1% 1.3%
August Sturm 7.5% 9.8% 8.7% 7.2% 8.1% 7.4% 9.3% 6.9% 9.1% 7.7% 6.4% 6.1% 3.7% 2.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.