Race 5A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Matthew Lyons 6.3% 7.7% 8.5% 7.5% 7.0% 8.7% 5.9% 7.6% 7.9% 9.0% 6.4% 7.5% 5.7% 4.3%
Nathaniel Greason 1.8% 3.1% 2.7% 3.2% 3.0% 3.5% 4.6% 3.8% 4.5% 5.3% 7.9% 9.6% 16.4% 30.6%
Alexander Tong 10.9% 11.7% 9.8% 8.8% 9.4% 8.0% 7.2% 7.4% 8.0% 7.8% 4.1% 3.3% 2.3% 1.3%
Bryce Kopp 9.3% 12.6% 8.3% 8.8% 9.2% 8.8% 8.7% 7.6% 6.8% 6.8% 5.0% 4.4% 2.8% 0.9%
John Silvestri 3.6% 4.1% 6.0% 6.1% 5.9% 5.7% 5.8% 7.0% 7.6% 7.8% 9.6% 10.6% 10.4% 9.8%
Frank Reeg 4.6% 3.2% 3.8% 3.2% 4.7% 5.1% 6.5% 5.6% 6.6% 7.3% 9.3% 12.6% 13.2% 14.3%
August Sturm 9.4% 9.1% 9.1% 7.0% 8.1% 8.7% 8.3% 6.3% 8.1% 6.9% 6.6% 5.2% 4.1% 3.1%
Dirk Johnson 8.7% 8.9% 7.9% 8.0% 8.2% 6.9% 6.7% 9.3% 6.1% 8.0% 7.2% 6.1% 4.8% 3.2%
Malcolm Lamphere 10.9% 8.8% 9.6% 10.3% 8.2% 9.7% 9.5% 7.5% 6.8% 6.6% 5.0% 3.6% 2.6% 0.9%
Jan Kite-Powell 6.1% 5.1% 4.8% 8.3% 7.9% 6.4% 6.9% 7.2% 8.0% 8.2% 8.5% 9.5% 8.6% 4.5%
Brendan Cook 10.7% 6.4% 9.5% 8.8% 9.4% 8.4% 7.8% 8.9% 8.0% 6.1% 5.0% 4.8% 4.2% 2.0%
Matthew Coughlin 6.9% 7.4% 8.8% 8.1% 7.9% 8.8% 8.0% 9.1% 8.1% 5.0% 7.5% 5.0% 5.5% 3.9%
Victoria McGruer 3.3% 3.9% 3.3% 3.8% 4.0% 4.1% 5.1% 4.4% 6.0% 7.7% 10.1% 10.6% 15.0% 18.7%
Peter Lynn 7.5% 8.0% 7.9% 8.1% 7.1% 7.2% 9.0% 8.3% 7.5% 7.5% 7.8% 7.2% 4.4% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.