← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Malcolm Lamphere 11.2% 11.1% 10.5% 9.5% 9.5% 7.7% 8.2% 6.7% 7.7% 4.5% 4.8% 5.1% 2.2% 1.3%
Brendan Cook 10.3% 10.0% 9.6% 8.8% 8.9% 8.8% 7.7% 9.2% 7.1% 6.7% 4.7% 3.6% 3.0% 1.6%
August Sturm 7.9% 9.5% 7.3% 8.9% 5.9% 7.9% 7.9% 9.1% 7.3% 7.4% 7.4% 6.3% 5.1% 2.1%
Matthew Lyons 6.0% 6.4% 8.6% 6.8% 6.9% 8.1% 6.6% 8.9% 7.2% 7.5% 8.1% 8.4% 6.0% 4.5%
Matthew Coughlin 6.4% 8.3% 7.6% 9.2% 7.7% 7.7% 7.1% 8.3% 7.2% 7.4% 7.7% 7.5% 5.2% 2.7%
Alexander Tong 9.6% 10.5% 10.8% 9.2% 10.0% 7.7% 8.2% 6.5% 7.3% 6.7% 5.1% 4.0% 3.6% 0.8%
Bryce Kopp 12.0% 11.0% 11.1% 8.6% 9.0% 8.3% 9.1% 8.1% 5.3% 6.4% 4.4% 4.3% 1.6% 0.8%
Peter Lynn 8.1% 7.6% 8.2% 7.5% 7.8% 7.0% 6.6% 8.3% 8.6% 6.9% 6.6% 7.4% 6.3% 3.1%
Dirk Johnson 8.3% 6.3% 7.5% 7.4% 8.2% 10.1% 9.9% 7.0% 6.7% 8.2% 6.7% 6.9% 4.6% 2.2%
Frank Reeg 3.7% 3.4% 3.3% 4.3% 5.9% 5.6% 5.0% 6.0% 6.4% 8.8% 8.8% 11.1% 13.1% 14.6%
Nathaniel Greason 2.1% 2.3% 1.3% 2.9% 2.7% 3.0% 4.8% 3.3% 4.9% 6.1% 6.7% 9.3% 15.6% 35.0%
Jan Kite-Powell 6.1% 5.2% 5.5% 8.0% 6.0% 8.7% 7.0% 8.2% 8.5% 7.9% 7.1% 8.1% 7.6% 6.1%
Victoria McGruer 3.4% 3.5% 3.2% 3.8% 5.1% 3.6% 5.0% 5.0% 7.2% 7.3% 9.8% 9.4% 16.2% 17.5%
John Silvestri 4.9% 4.9% 5.5% 5.1% 6.4% 5.8% 6.9% 5.4% 8.6% 8.2% 12.1% 8.6% 9.9% 7.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.