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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.80+6.29vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+7.02vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.25+2.91vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.23+2.00vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.95+2.02vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.13+0.41vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.05+2.57vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.90-0.99vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.26-3.05vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.97-3.10vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-4.10vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.45-3.40vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.70-5.35vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.68-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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9.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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5.91Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.0Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.02University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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6.41Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.57Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.01Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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5.95Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.9Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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8.6Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.65University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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10.77Dartmouth College1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Lyons | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 12.6% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 10.5% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% |
| Bryce Kopp | 9.0% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Brendan Cook | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 18.3% |
| Peter Lynn | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% |
| Alexander Tong | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Dirk Johnson | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| August Sturm | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| John Silvestri | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 4.4% |
| Nathaniel Greason | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.