Race 9A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Matthew Coughlin 7.4% 8.9% 8.5% 8.2% 8.7% 7.0% 8.6% 7.3% 8.3% 6.8% 5.5% 5.9% 6.6% 2.3%
Brendan Cook 10.5% 10.8% 9.1% 8.9% 8.0% 7.7% 9.7% 8.3% 7.2% 6.1% 5.4% 3.9% 3.0% 1.4%
Malcolm Lamphere 11.0% 11.1% 9.7% 8.5% 8.9% 8.9% 7.4% 7.7% 6.7% 7.5% 4.3% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8%
Frank Reeg 3.4% 3.0% 5.2% 5.2% 4.3% 5.7% 4.8% 6.0% 8.0% 7.8% 7.6% 10.8% 14.2% 14.0%
Peter Lynn 6.4% 6.9% 7.9% 8.6% 7.8% 7.7% 5.9% 9.2% 6.9% 7.9% 8.8% 6.8% 6.2% 3.0%
Dirk Johnson 7.8% 7.0% 8.4% 8.1% 8.5% 7.8% 7.8% 7.5% 8.9% 6.5% 6.7% 6.0% 6.0% 3.0%
Bryce Kopp 11.7% 11.6% 9.3% 10.8% 9.4% 8.0% 6.6% 8.3% 6.1% 6.8% 4.6% 3.7% 2.2% 0.9%
Victoria McGruer 4.1% 2.9% 4.1% 3.7% 4.2% 4.9% 5.0% 4.6% 5.2% 6.1% 9.8% 12.0% 13.6% 19.8%
August Sturm 8.0% 7.5% 7.1% 7.4% 8.1% 9.5% 8.9% 7.2% 8.2% 7.7% 7.9% 5.3% 4.3% 2.9%
Matthew Lyons 7.0% 5.7% 5.7% 8.7% 8.2% 6.2% 7.5% 7.3% 9.0% 8.1% 8.4% 7.7% 6.2% 4.3%
Alexander Tong 10.2% 9.1% 11.6% 9.5% 8.4% 10.1% 8.5% 6.6% 7.1% 5.3% 4.9% 4.4% 3.0% 1.3%
Nathaniel Greason 2.2% 2.1% 1.8% 3.0% 2.5% 2.9% 3.6% 5.2% 4.1% 6.8% 8.2% 9.2% 15.4% 33.0%
Jan Kite-Powell 5.8% 8.1% 5.7% 5.0% 6.6% 7.1% 8.5% 9.2% 6.1% 8.8% 7.7% 8.9% 6.9% 5.6%
John Silvestri 4.5% 5.3% 5.9% 4.4% 6.4% 6.5% 7.2% 5.6% 8.2% 7.8% 10.2% 10.3% 10.0% 7.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.