Race 7A

cary-price

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Matthew Graham 33.0% 24.7% 19.4% 11.0% 7.0% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Braden Solum 13.1% 19.3% 19.2% 15.6% 14.4% 9.4% 5.0% 3.2% 0.8%
Adam Gilbertson 3.5% 6.1% 7.3% 9.6% 10.3% 12.6% 16.1% 18.0% 16.5%
Phil Holt 4.0% 5.4% 6.9% 9.7% 11.2% 14.2% 14.2% 16.0% 18.4%
Geoff Pedrick 23.0% 19.9% 17.2% 16.0% 10.7% 6.8% 3.5% 2.4% 0.5%
Elizabeth Werley 4.3% 5.5% 6.4% 6.9% 11.2% 13.1% 17.3% 16.9% 18.4%
Samuel Todd 7.9% 7.6% 11.2% 13.3% 14.4% 15.5% 13.8% 10.9% 5.4%
Eric Tobias 7.8% 7.3% 9.7% 11.7% 14.4% 15.2% 13.6% 12.1% 8.2%
Joshua Brown 3.4% 4.2% 2.7% 6.2% 6.4% 10.0% 15.2% 20.2% 31.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.