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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.68+4.61vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.10+5.83vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.23+1.04vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.21+2.95vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.13+1.92vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas-0.03+1.71vs Predicted
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7Hope College-0.31+1.42vs Predicted
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8Indiana University0.39-1.51vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.29-5.18vs Predicted
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10Washington University0.09-2.90vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University0.97-5.84vs Predicted
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12Western Michigan University-1.85-0.15vs Predicted
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13Ohio State University-1.53-1.56vs Predicted
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14Grand Valley State University-1.70-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.61Northwestern University0.689.4%1st Place
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7.83Purdue University-0.104.5%1st Place
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4.04University of Notre Dame1.2318.6%1st Place
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6.95Marquette University0.215.7%1st Place
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6.92University of Wisconsin0.136.9%1st Place
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7.71University of Saint Thomas-0.034.5%1st Place
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8.42Hope College-0.314.0%1st Place
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6.49Indiana University0.397.4%1st Place
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3.82University of Michigan1.2918.2%1st Place
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7.1Washington University0.095.1%1st Place
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5.16Michigan Technological University0.9712.4%1st Place
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11.85Western Michigan University-1.850.7%1st Place
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11.44Ohio State University-1.531.2%1st Place
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11.67Grand Valley State University-1.701.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Chesemore | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nathanael Green | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Payden Pittman | 18.6% | 17.3% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Nigel Yu | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Caroline Henry | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 2.7% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Billy Vogel | 18.2% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Xinshi Feng | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 12.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William O'Haver | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 13.8% | 25.9% | 33.9% |
| Quinn Schwarz | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 16.7% | 23.1% | 26.8% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 14.7% | 24.2% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.