Race 10A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alexander Tong 10.1% 12.2% 9.8% 11.4% 8.8% 8.0% 7.7% 6.8% 6.5% 6.1% 3.7% 4.4% 3.2% 1.3%
August Sturm 8.6% 9.0% 9.1% 6.8% 8.1% 8.0% 8.5% 9.7% 7.7% 6.9% 5.2% 6.2% 4.2% 2.0%
Matthew Lyons 6.6% 7.7% 7.3% 7.4% 5.8% 7.4% 7.2% 8.0% 7.8% 7.8% 9.6% 7.3% 6.3% 3.8%
Matthew Coughlin 6.7% 8.0% 7.8% 8.2% 7.6% 9.3% 8.0% 8.6% 7.0% 6.4% 8.6% 6.4% 4.7% 2.7%
Peter Lynn 6.0% 7.4% 7.6% 8.2% 7.7% 8.0% 8.1% 8.2% 7.3% 6.8% 6.9% 8.5% 6.1% 3.2%
Brendan Cook 9.2% 8.0% 8.5% 10.1% 9.4% 8.7% 8.0% 7.2% 6.3% 7.7% 7.0% 4.2% 4.1% 1.6%
Bryce Kopp 11.1% 11.4% 10.4% 11.6% 8.2% 8.0% 8.6% 7.4% 5.7% 6.2% 4.0% 3.8% 3.0% 0.6%
John Silvestri 5.6% 4.8% 5.7% 4.2% 6.9% 6.0% 5.0% 6.9% 8.1% 10.1% 7.0% 9.2% 10.4% 10.1%
Victoria McGruer 4.0% 2.6% 2.8% 3.1% 4.6% 2.9% 4.6% 4.8% 7.4% 8.1% 8.8% 11.8% 15.9% 18.6%
Jan Kite-Powell 6.4% 5.0% 5.5% 6.2% 8.5% 6.9% 6.7% 7.6% 8.7% 7.0% 10.0% 9.1% 8.2% 4.2%
Malcolm Lamphere 11.7% 7.6% 11.4% 9.5% 8.8% 8.6% 9.8% 6.6% 6.9% 5.6% 4.3% 4.4% 3.4% 1.4%
Frank Reeg 3.7% 4.6% 2.2% 3.8% 5.8% 5.7% 5.4% 7.0% 7.3% 9.0% 8.9% 9.5% 11.8% 15.3%
Nathaniel Greason 2.2% 2.8% 2.8% 2.9% 1.9% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 5.6% 5.1% 8.1% 9.8% 15.0% 33.0%
Dirk Johnson 8.1% 8.9% 9.1% 6.6% 7.9% 8.9% 8.8% 7.6% 7.7% 7.2% 7.9% 5.4% 3.7% 2.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.