Race 11A

hewitt

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Malcolm Lamphere 9.6% 11.1% 11.7% 11.0% 8.2% 8.4% 8.1% 7.3% 6.3% 4.7% 5.4% 3.6% 3.5% 1.1%
Matthew Coughlin 8.6% 9.8% 7.8% 7.3% 8.4% 8.6% 6.4% 8.3% 8.7% 6.9% 6.5% 7.0% 3.5% 2.2%
Brendan Cook 9.5% 10.3% 8.8% 8.4% 8.1% 9.2% 8.4% 6.5% 8.2% 6.5% 6.3% 5.2% 3.5% 1.1%
Matthew Lyons 6.0% 7.8% 5.7% 7.9% 8.1% 7.1% 7.2% 8.7% 7.1% 6.3% 9.9% 7.9% 5.6% 4.7%
Victoria McGruer 2.5% 3.1% 3.7% 3.7% 3.4% 5.6% 5.3% 5.0% 6.0% 7.2% 8.4% 10.3% 15.4% 20.4%
August Sturm 8.5% 6.0% 7.8% 7.4% 10.0% 7.3% 8.0% 8.0% 8.4% 7.0% 6.3% 6.1% 6.7% 2.5%
Frank Reeg 4.3% 4.7% 4.2% 5.5% 4.2% 5.8% 5.1% 6.0% 7.7% 8.5% 9.1% 10.6% 11.1% 13.2%
Peter Lynn 8.0% 8.6% 7.9% 7.7% 6.3% 8.0% 6.4% 8.2% 8.1% 7.5% 7.3% 5.4% 7.1% 3.5%
Alexander Tong 11.0% 8.7% 10.3% 10.7% 8.5% 8.4% 9.3% 8.1% 5.9% 6.5% 4.9% 4.2% 2.7% 0.8%
John Silvestri 4.6% 3.7% 5.0% 5.7% 5.2% 6.0% 7.9% 5.8% 7.4% 8.8% 9.0% 10.0% 11.1% 9.8%
Dirk Johnson 9.0% 6.2% 8.1% 8.3% 7.9% 7.7% 8.6% 7.7% 7.6% 8.5% 5.6% 6.8% 4.9% 3.1%
Nathaniel Greason 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 1.9% 3.8% 2.5% 3.7% 4.7% 4.8% 6.2% 7.5% 10.8% 16.0% 32.0%
Bryce Kopp 10.5% 11.5% 9.5% 8.2% 11.0% 8.2% 7.9% 7.4% 7.5% 6.0% 4.9% 3.4% 2.8% 1.2%
Jan Kite-Powell 5.8% 6.5% 7.5% 6.3% 6.9% 7.2% 7.7% 8.3% 6.3% 9.4% 8.9% 8.7% 6.1% 4.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.