Race 1B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nicholas Baird 22.0% 17.7% 15.5% 12.0% 9.6% 6.0% 5.4% 5.1% 2.8% 1.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Casey Gowrie 6.6% 8.0% 7.0% 6.8% 7.9% 8.3% 8.5% 9.3% 9.6% 7.3% 9.2% 6.0% 4.0% 1.5%
Christopher Williford 9.7% 11.2% 10.5% 9.4% 9.4% 10.4% 9.3% 6.8% 8.5% 6.3% 5.4% 1.9% 1.2% 0.0%
Charles Welsh 4.0% 5.1% 6.6% 6.6% 6.2% 5.5% 8.9% 7.3% 9.8% 11.8% 8.1% 10.4% 6.2% 3.5%
Liam Ballantyne 1.5% 1.7% 2.2% 2.8% 3.5% 2.2% 4.5% 5.5% 5.1% 7.6% 7.7% 13.6% 18.9% 23.2%
Kyle Brego 1.0% 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 2.0% 2.0% 2.4% 4.0% 3.7% 4.0% 8.4% 10.8% 18.6% 38.7%
Maxwell Simmons 7.8% 9.3% 7.8% 7.2% 9.4% 9.9% 8.9% 7.3% 9.1% 8.3% 6.7% 4.7% 2.2% 1.4%
Shannon Killian 3.0% 2.5% 3.2% 3.2% 4.0% 3.8% 4.3% 5.0% 6.8% 7.5% 11.2% 12.6% 17.1% 15.8%
Martim Anderson 11.4% 11.4% 11.2% 11.8% 10.7% 10.3% 8.5% 7.8% 5.3% 5.0% 3.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0%
John Wehner 3.1% 3.0% 3.0% 3.6% 4.3% 5.5% 6.9% 6.8% 7.4% 9.0% 12.4% 11.7% 14.5% 8.8%
Matthew Kaplan 10.5% 8.4% 12.0% 10.0% 8.8% 11.1% 8.3% 8.8% 6.6% 6.0% 5.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.1%
Hugh MacGillivray 7.2% 6.4% 8.4% 7.8% 10.1% 9.1% 9.9% 10.2% 6.6% 7.1% 6.2% 5.7% 3.5% 1.8%
Sarah Hermus 8.6% 9.9% 7.2% 11.3% 8.4% 9.7% 8.5% 7.9% 8.4% 7.8% 5.5% 4.2% 2.2% 0.4%
Lindsay Doyle 3.6% 4.1% 3.6% 6.2% 5.7% 6.2% 5.7% 8.2% 10.3% 10.4% 9.2% 12.8% 9.2% 4.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.