Race 2B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Maxwell Simmons 6.9% 6.9% 9.9% 9.3% 8.3% 9.6% 7.0% 9.2% 8.9% 8.1% 6.1% 4.9% 3.1% 1.8%
Nicholas Baird 21.4% 18.7% 16.6% 12.2% 10.2% 7.1% 4.5% 3.2% 3.2% 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Matthew Kaplan 10.9% 10.2% 11.0% 9.3% 10.7% 10.1% 9.0% 8.2% 6.9% 5.9% 4.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.3%
Casey Gowrie 5.4% 5.9% 7.4% 7.5% 6.9% 8.4% 9.8% 8.8% 8.8% 9.3% 9.1% 6.4% 4.5% 1.8%
Hugh MacGillivray 5.6% 8.5% 6.9% 9.8% 9.2% 8.1% 9.5% 8.1% 9.7% 8.1% 6.0% 5.9% 3.3% 1.3%
Charles Welsh 5.3% 4.9% 4.7% 4.5% 6.1% 8.5% 8.3% 7.9% 8.8% 9.4% 9.9% 9.8% 8.0% 3.9%
John Wehner 3.7% 3.3% 5.0% 4.9% 5.2% 5.2% 5.9% 6.6% 7.9% 9.5% 10.5% 13.3% 12.3% 6.7%
Christopher Williford 10.9% 10.6% 9.9% 11.1% 8.8% 8.1% 8.7% 8.5% 6.5% 7.6% 4.5% 3.0% 1.4% 0.4%
Martim Anderson 11.5% 12.0% 10.2% 11.5% 11.0% 10.1% 9.2% 6.7% 6.7% 5.2% 2.4% 1.9% 1.2% 0.4%
Liam Ballantyne 1.9% 2.0% 2.0% 1.8% 2.1% 2.8% 3.9% 6.0% 5.6% 6.5% 9.5% 13.8% 19.4% 22.7%
Lindsay Doyle 3.7% 4.2% 3.5% 5.1% 5.0% 6.9% 6.5% 7.9% 8.8% 8.9% 11.8% 12.4% 9.2% 6.1%
Shannon Killian 2.5% 1.8% 2.2% 3.5% 3.7% 3.9% 4.3% 6.0% 7.1% 8.3% 12.6% 11.4% 14.8% 17.9%
Kyle Brego 1.9% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 2.8% 1.7% 3.7% 3.1% 2.8% 6.1% 7.1% 11.4% 19.5% 36.0%
Sarah Hermus 8.4% 9.7% 9.4% 8.2% 10.0% 9.5% 9.7% 9.8% 8.3% 5.7% 5.2% 3.5% 2.0% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.