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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+4.67vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.19+4.53vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.56+2.59vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.24-0.17vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.71+0.32vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.04+1.34vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.21-0.61vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.39+1.08vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+1.77vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.08+0.20vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.37-4.70vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.81-4.04vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-1.49vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.58-5.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.53Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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5.59Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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3.83Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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5.32Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.34Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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6.39Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.08Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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10.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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10.2Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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6.3University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.96Boston University2.810.0%1st Place
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11.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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8.51University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Baird | 20.7% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 9.5% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Casey Gowrie | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| John Wehner | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 9.4% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 20.2% | 22.6% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 17.5% | 16.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Charles Welsh | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 38.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.