Race 5B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Matthew Kaplan 10.2% 11.2% 11.5% 11.0% 10.1% 9.0% 9.4% 6.6% 6.7% 5.9% 3.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.8%
Maxwell Simmons 7.3% 8.8% 8.3% 8.1% 9.4% 8.1% 8.5% 9.1% 9.6% 8.2% 6.2% 4.3% 3.2% 0.9%
Casey Gowrie 6.1% 6.3% 7.4% 6.9% 7.6% 7.4% 8.9% 8.9% 9.1% 9.2% 9.4% 7.7% 3.2% 1.9%
Christopher Williford 8.9% 11.1% 9.4% 10.2% 10.3% 10.6% 9.0% 8.4% 7.4% 5.1% 5.2% 2.8% 1.4% 0.2%
Hugh MacGillivray 6.5% 5.8% 7.9% 10.2% 8.1% 9.3% 8.9% 8.2% 9.3% 8.6% 8.0% 5.3% 2.2% 1.7%
Shannon Killian 2.1% 2.5% 2.9% 2.5% 4.0% 3.9% 3.5% 5.0% 7.1% 9.1% 10.7% 12.5% 18.1% 16.1%
Charles Welsh 5.4% 6.1% 6.4% 7.1% 6.9% 6.4% 7.5% 10.1% 7.6% 9.0% 9.8% 9.3% 5.8% 2.6%
Nicholas Baird 23.0% 17.5% 13.4% 11.1% 8.8% 8.7% 7.2% 4.7% 2.5% 1.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Brego 1.6% 1.7% 1.5% 1.6% 1.8% 1.9% 2.5% 2.9% 3.8% 5.3% 6.7% 10.7% 21.4% 36.6%
Liam Ballantyne 1.8% 2.0% 2.0% 1.6% 2.1% 3.0% 4.1% 5.5% 6.7% 6.3% 8.9% 12.1% 19.0% 24.9%
Martim Anderson 13.2% 10.6% 11.2% 9.7% 10.7% 10.8% 8.8% 7.9% 5.5% 4.4% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.3%
Sarah Hermus 7.1% 8.7% 9.2% 9.8% 10.3% 10.7% 8.5% 8.3% 6.6% 9.0% 5.0% 3.2% 3.0% 0.6%
Lindsay Doyle 3.7% 4.8% 5.1% 4.8% 4.5% 5.0% 7.4% 8.1% 10.6% 9.6% 10.0% 11.6% 9.0% 5.8%
John Wehner 3.1% 2.9% 3.8% 5.4% 5.4% 5.2% 5.8% 6.3% 7.5% 8.8% 11.3% 15.0% 11.9% 7.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.