Race 6B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Maxwell Simmons 6.3% 8.4% 9.3% 8.8% 7.5% 9.5% 8.2% 9.2% 8.9% 8.3% 5.5% 4.9% 3.8% 1.4%
Hugh MacGillivray 7.9% 9.1% 8.0% 7.3% 9.0% 9.6% 8.8% 9.7% 8.8% 7.9% 5.7% 4.1% 3.1% 1.0%
Casey Gowrie 7.1% 6.4% 7.1% 6.3% 7.1% 8.9% 8.2% 9.5% 8.3% 8.3% 9.0% 7.1% 5.1% 1.6%
Nicholas Baird 19.5% 18.2% 14.4% 13.6% 10.9% 7.2% 5.4% 5.5% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
John Wehner 2.4% 3.0% 3.9% 4.2% 5.0% 5.4% 7.0% 6.6% 6.5% 8.9% 11.4% 13.0% 13.8% 8.9%
Matthew Kaplan 10.4% 8.8% 11.4% 11.0% 8.9% 10.4% 8.5% 8.1% 7.4% 6.1% 4.8% 3.0% 1.1% 0.1%
Christopher Williford 11.3% 10.7% 10.7% 10.2% 11.5% 8.7% 9.4% 6.5% 8.1% 5.1% 3.7% 3.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Sarah Hermus 8.8% 9.9% 7.7% 9.0% 9.9% 8.1% 9.6% 9.5% 6.6% 7.4% 6.4% 4.2% 2.2% 0.7%
Lindsay Doyle 3.8% 3.3% 5.0% 4.9% 4.5% 4.9% 7.3% 8.0% 8.4% 12.0% 11.1% 10.9% 9.7% 6.2%
Shannon Killian 2.4% 2.2% 1.9% 2.1% 3.5% 4.3% 5.3% 4.7% 8.4% 8.5% 9.6% 12.4% 17.2% 17.5%
Liam Ballantyne 1.6% 2.1% 1.9% 2.8% 2.7% 3.1% 4.0% 4.7% 6.0% 6.3% 9.1% 14.2% 19.0% 22.5%
Kyle Brego 0.9% 1.7% 1.1% 2.2% 1.7% 2.0% 2.9% 2.4% 4.0% 5.7% 9.1% 11.9% 17.3% 37.1%
Martim Anderson 12.8% 10.9% 11.8% 11.1% 10.4% 10.4% 9.2% 7.7% 5.1% 4.6% 2.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Charles Welsh 4.8% 5.3% 5.8% 6.5% 7.4% 7.5% 6.2% 7.9% 10.8% 9.6% 11.4% 8.2% 5.8% 2.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.