Race 7B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Hugh MacGillivray 7.3% 8.0% 9.8% 7.9% 7.6% 9.5% 9.5% 8.5% 8.0% 6.8% 7.8% 5.5% 2.2% 1.6%
Kyle Brego 0.9% 1.4% 1.8% 2.8% 1.7% 3.0% 2.2% 4.0% 4.4% 5.5% 7.6% 9.3% 18.3% 37.1%
Nicholas Baird 23.3% 17.2% 14.2% 11.7% 10.5% 7.3% 5.3% 4.5% 3.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Casey Gowrie 5.4% 6.1% 7.3% 8.2% 6.1% 7.6% 9.7% 9.5% 8.8% 9.8% 7.9% 7.7% 4.5% 1.4%
Matthew Kaplan 9.2% 10.2% 11.8% 9.3% 11.1% 8.3% 8.7% 9.3% 6.6% 6.5% 3.8% 3.4% 1.5% 0.3%
Liam Ballantyne 1.4% 2.0% 2.8% 2.4% 2.0% 3.4% 3.5% 3.9% 4.7% 8.0% 10.0% 13.2% 19.1% 23.6%
Lindsay Doyle 4.0% 4.5% 6.5% 4.7% 5.8% 5.1% 7.7% 7.4% 8.1% 10.6% 9.7% 11.1% 8.7% 6.1%
Christopher Williford 11.1% 10.7% 9.9% 10.1% 9.2% 8.6% 8.9% 8.4% 7.5% 6.3% 4.1% 3.1% 1.7% 0.4%
Martim Anderson 11.8% 12.7% 9.2% 11.0% 12.7% 10.5% 7.8% 7.0% 6.6% 4.5% 3.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.3%
Charles Welsh 5.1% 3.7% 5.0% 6.1% 7.5% 7.7% 7.3% 7.9% 10.0% 9.0% 10.1% 9.9% 8.6% 2.1%
John Wehner 2.9% 3.5% 3.2% 4.5% 4.8% 4.9% 5.8% 7.2% 7.5% 8.9% 11.0% 13.8% 12.4% 9.6%
Maxwell Simmons 6.2% 7.4% 7.5% 8.6% 8.9% 9.0% 9.3% 9.2% 9.4% 7.6% 6.7% 4.8% 4.1% 1.3%
Shannon Killian 2.6% 2.4% 2.7% 3.6% 3.2% 4.8% 4.8% 4.0% 7.2% 8.7% 11.3% 12.7% 16.3% 15.7%
Sarah Hermus 8.8% 10.2% 8.3% 9.1% 8.9% 10.3% 9.5% 9.2% 7.9% 6.3% 5.8% 3.3% 1.9% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.