Race 8B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Christopher Williford 9.1% 11.8% 11.0% 9.8% 10.3% 10.0% 8.7% 7.2% 7.5% 4.8% 4.7% 2.8% 1.5% 0.8%
Nicholas Baird 21.7% 19.7% 14.8% 12.4% 9.9% 8.0% 5.3% 3.2% 2.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Kaplan 9.5% 11.8% 10.1% 11.6% 8.7% 8.5% 8.3% 8.8% 7.6% 6.9% 3.9% 3.3% 1.0% 0.0%
John Wehner 2.5% 2.8% 4.0% 5.1% 5.0% 5.9% 5.0% 6.3% 8.4% 9.1% 11.1% 13.6% 12.7% 8.5%
Lindsay Doyle 3.8% 3.6% 4.2% 5.0% 5.9% 6.4% 6.5% 7.7% 8.3% 10.8% 9.1% 12.4% 10.5% 5.8%
Kyle Brego 0.8% 1.3% 1.9% 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 2.8% 3.3% 3.4% 4.1% 8.6% 10.4% 17.2% 40.5%
Martim Anderson 13.3% 13.9% 11.2% 11.4% 9.0% 10.1% 9.7% 6.5% 5.4% 4.6% 2.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Casey Gowrie 6.9% 5.6% 8.2% 7.6% 6.6% 8.8% 8.2% 9.1% 9.6% 7.4% 7.9% 7.4% 4.5% 2.2%
Charles Welsh 5.5% 3.5% 5.5% 4.5% 7.6% 6.6% 7.0% 9.9% 11.4% 10.2% 10.4% 9.2% 5.6% 3.1%
Maxwell Simmons 6.5% 6.5% 7.1% 8.6% 9.4% 8.2% 9.6% 8.8% 8.3% 9.6% 8.5% 4.3% 3.6% 1.0%
Sarah Hermus 9.0% 8.5% 8.2% 9.0% 9.3% 8.7% 10.6% 8.0% 8.1% 8.1% 5.6% 4.0% 2.1% 0.8%
Hugh MacGillivray 6.9% 6.2% 9.1% 8.5% 9.7% 8.1% 10.1% 8.8% 8.0% 7.1% 7.2% 4.9% 4.1% 1.3%
Liam Ballantyne 2.5% 1.9% 2.3% 2.3% 2.6% 2.8% 3.3% 6.5% 6.0% 7.1% 9.2% 13.2% 17.5% 22.8%
Shannon Killian 2.0% 2.9% 2.4% 2.4% 4.2% 5.8% 4.9% 5.9% 5.5% 8.4% 10.9% 12.8% 18.8% 13.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.