Race 8A

cary-price

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Matthew Graham 32.6% 26.5% 17.4% 11.1% 7.6% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Adam Gilbertson 2.9% 4.9% 5.9% 9.0% 11.7% 13.4% 15.4% 19.6% 17.2%
Braden Solum 18.2% 17.1% 17.0% 16.2% 14.0% 9.3% 6.0% 2.0% 0.2%
Samuel Todd 8.0% 8.4% 13.1% 13.2% 13.7% 14.3% 14.1% 9.7% 5.5%
Elizabeth Werley 3.9% 6.4% 7.4% 9.9% 10.3% 12.2% 13.8% 17.5% 18.6%
Phil Holt 4.5% 4.3% 6.4% 8.8% 10.1% 13.9% 16.7% 17.8% 17.5%
Geoff Pedrick 19.1% 22.2% 18.2% 16.1% 11.2% 7.1% 4.2% 1.8% 0.1%
Eric Tobias 7.6% 6.7% 10.6% 10.8% 13.9% 15.8% 13.6% 11.9% 9.1%
Joshua Brown 3.2% 3.5% 4.0% 4.9% 7.5% 10.5% 15.2% 19.5% 31.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.